bet365 have priced up 14 players' Total Premier League goals for the upcoming season, and in part one of our breakdown, we look at the first seven.
15 or more – 4/6
20 or more – 9/4
25 or more – 12/1
Liverpool’s new centre-forward arrives in the Premier League on the back of a 26-goal breakthrough season in Portugal.
With the departure of Sadio Mane and the decreasing reliance on Roberto Firmino, Nunez can expect plenty of game time, and although there is room for improvement in the technical side of his game, the powerhouse should enjoy the rough and tumble of the Premier League.
His lethal finishing is one of the reasons he’s attracted the likes of Liverpool, however a huge over-performance of his xG (approximately 10 goals better than expected) could mean he’s subject to a little regression this season, and he may need a huge xG tally to surpass 20 goals again. For context, Mohamed Salah, with 23 goals last season, had the Premier League’s highest goal tally with 21.8.
10 or more – 4/6
15 or more – 9/1
It’s unlikely Richarlison will displace any of Harry Kane, Son Heung-min or Dejan Kulusevski as first-choice, but with the demands of playing in an Antonio Conte side, as well as the added European schedule, the Brazilian should get plenty of game time.
Fast and strong with a good work rate, Conte will get plenty of use out of Richarlison, particularly in the big games, where we’ll likely see Spurs sit deep and try hit sides on the break.
Should he get enough game time, goals shouldn’t be too hard to come by, with Richarlison clearing double figures in three of his four seasons at Everton, registering 0.35 goals/90.
25 or more – 6/4
30 or more – 9/2
35 or more – 12/1
We could see absolutely anything from Erling Haaland this season. The world’s best team, who score goals for fun, now have the world’s best striker, who also scores goals for fun.
At Dortmund, Haaland scored a ridiculous 1.04 goals/90, however the caveat comes in how much he’s actually played. While 62 goals in 67 games is remarkable, he’s also missed a lot of games through injury. Reoccurring muscle injuries present a red flag, but with the depth in City’s squad, Guardiola should be able to ease Haaland through the season. Whether that means he’s rested in Champions League games, Premier League games or both remains to be seen, but if he does stay fit through the season, we may well see a record-breaking campaign from the Norweigian.
15 or more – 5/4
20 or more – 5/1
The heir to Sergio Aguero’s throne, deposed before his coronation, Gabriel Jesus heads to North London for the chance of being a first-choice striker for a leading Premier League club.
Arsenal weren’t exactly short of goals last season, with six players scoring five or more and two reaching double figures, but when Bukayo Saka was top scorer with 11, it was clear to see where the Gunners needed to improve.
The lack of an obvious goalscorer was often apparent last season as Arsenal fell over the finish line, and Jesus should relish the opportunity to work under one of Pep Guardiola’s disciples.
20 or more – 4/9
25 or more – 9/4
30 or more – 12/1
The sceptics might tell you that we’ve seen the best of Mohamed Salah. Now 30 with miles on the clock, and an end to the campaign which was certainly levels below what we’d seen a few months prior, it might be hard for him to keep hitting 20 goals a year.
The believers however, will remind you that his dip came after the Africa Cup of Nations, and even then he scored 7 in 15 games (starting just 10). His statistical output for touches and presses were actually slightly higher after the break, and that his goal output regressed a little towards the mean after sublime hot streak to start the season.
Salah’s worst season in a Liverpool shirt saw him score 19, and maybe after tired defenders return from the World Cup, a fresh Salah will be able to take full advantage.
10 or more – 1/5
15 or more – 8/11
20 or more – 7/1
25 or more – 25/1
30 or more – 100/1
One of the most intriguing transfers of the summer window has seen Raheem Sterling move from Manchester City to Chelsea.
A massive part of Pep Guardiola’s title-winning sides, the England man found himself playing a less important role over the last couple of campaigns, with his goal tally dropping from 18, 17 and 20 to 10 and 13.
It will be a big transition for Sterling, and it will be interesting to see how well he fares under Thomas Tuchel.
Remarkably, in the last eight seasons, more than a third (38%) of Sterling’s Premier League goals have come from him being inside the six-yard box. Much more than the likes of Mohamed Salah (15%), Harry Kane (19%) and almost identical to Gabriel Jesus (40%).
15 or more – 6/5
20 or more – 8/1
25 or more – 100/1
Plenty of eyes will be on Aleksandar Mitrovic this season, as the Serbian takes another crack at the Premier League.
He does have goals in the top flight of course, but was sidelined for much of his last stint with Fulham under Scott Parker.
After a record-breaking campaign which saw Fulham win the league at a canter, the Cottagers look better-placed for a survival bid, and Mitrovic’s goals will be crucial.