bet365 have priced up 14 players' Total Premier League goals for the upcoming season, and in part one of our breakdown, we look at the secondseven.
15 or more – 1/2
20 or more – 4/1
25 or more – 33/1
So good was Diogo Jota after signing for Liverpool, he broke up the trio of Salah, Mane and Firmino and established himself as Jurgen Klopp’s first-choice centre forward. The arrival of Luis Diaz saw Mane, Diaz and Jota alternate between the centre forward and left wing positions, but Darwin Nunez certainly adds lots of competition for places.
Nunez is expected to be Klopp’s main man up top, but Jota’s versatility and his record of 0.62 goals/90 for Liverpool, as well as the Reds’ busy fixture list, suggests he’ll get plenty of time on the pitch as he bids to reach 15 goals for the second successive season.
15 or more – 4/7
20 or more – 5/1
25 or more – 40/1
Luis Diaz has been a long-term target of Liverpool’s, but after he fired 14 goals in the first 18 games of the Primeira Liga season, the Reds were urged into action to sign the Colombian quicker than planned.
Despite him scoring as proficiently as he had for Porto, few could have anticipated the impact he’d have at Anfield in such a short space of time.
So good was he from the left wing, that Sadio Mane was moved centrally to accommodate both men.
Though he only scored four for Liverpool in his 13 games, it took him to a total of 18 for the season, and with more time to work with Jurgen Klopp, a big haul could be on the cards this time around.
20 or more – 1/3
25 or more – 11/4
30 or more – 20/1
35 or more – 100/1
The alarmingly poor start to last season left some wondering whether Harry Kane’s best years were behind him.
The reality was he was being used very inefficiently, and when Antonio Conte came in, his fortunes turned around.
Strangely it’s actually the first time Kane has underperformed his xG across a season, but he still managed 17 goals.
At his peak, Kane reached 1.04 goals/90, but in recent years has hovered around 0.65, and will look to hit his previous heights after an off season.
20 or more – 6/4
25 or more – 9/1
30 or more – 80/1
While Harry Kane wasn’t quite at his best, Son Heung-min came to the fore, sharing the Golden Boot award with Mohamed Salah.
After eight goals at the turn of the year, Son kicked into gear in the second half of the season with 15 as Tottenham finished fourth.
Interestingly, Son has over-performed his xG in every season (by 6.7 and 6.6 in the last two seasons) to become one of Tottenham’s most important players.
While that level of over-performance will be hard to sustain, Son looks set for another impressive haul in 2022/23.
15 or more – 1/1
20 or more – 8/1
25 or more – 100/1
Just when you think the sun might finally be setting on Jamie Vardy’s career, he hits 15 Premier League goals once more, and that’s despite missing nearly half the season through injury.
With Patson Daka and Kelechi Iheanacho waiting in the wings, Vardy may see his game time diminish further, but last season proved he’s still got it when he’s fit, and it’s unlikely Brendan Rodgers is going to want to phase out his star striker in the Premier League for as long as he’s available.
His goal tally has read 24, 13, 20, 18, 23, 15 and 15 across seven superb seasons, and as long as last season’s injury concerns are behind him, 15 may be well within his reach for a third consecutive season.
15 or more – 10/11
20 or more – 7/1
25 or more – 66/1
After scoring three goals in his first three games last season, a brave man would’ve been backing the unders for Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s total.
With improving seasons of 13 and 16, 21/22 looked like being DCL’s breakthrough season, but a lengthy lay-off through injury, combined with Everton’s struggles throughout the season, saw Calvert-Lewin finish on a measly five.
The 25-year-old missed a number of games due to fitness issues towards the end of the season with his future in doubt, but the big move away from Goodison doesn’t appear to have materialised, and he’ll be desperate to get back to double figures and give England manager Gareth Southgate something to think about ahead of the winter World Cup.
15 or more – 6/4
20 or more – 8/1
Perhaps the Premier League’s all-time greatest midfielder, Kevin De Bruyne remains central to Manchester City’s success.
Not just a creator, and arguably the league’s best creator along with Trent Alexander-Arnold, De Bruyne’s reached 13 and 15 goals in two of his last three seasons, with injuries scuppering him in 2020/21.
His xG tally has usually aligned with his goalscoring output, though his seasons of double figure goals did come with a fairly substantial over-performance of 5.4 and 8.6.